PASADENA, Calif. (Feb. 19, 2016) – With Caltech men's basketball currently part of a four-team tie for third place in the SCIAC standings with two games remaining, here is a look at the final week's possible scenarios:
1. Chapman 11-3
2. Whittier 9-5
3. Redlands 7-7
3. CMS 7-7
3. Caltech 7-7
3. La Verne 7-7
7. Occidental 5-9
8. Pomona-Pitzer 5-9
9. Cal Lutheran 5-9
Sat, Feb. 20 La Verne at Pomona-Pitzer
Whittier at Occidental
CMS at Redlands
Chapman at Caltech
Mon, Feb. 22 Occidental at Cal Lutheran
Tue, Feb. 23 Caltech at Pomona-Pitzer
Cal Lutheran at Whittier
Redlands at La Verne
CMS at Chapman
Chapman has clinched the #1 seed and SCIAC Championship title by virtue of its 2-0 head-to-head record vs. Whittier, the only team which has any possibility of matching the Panthers' record. Whittier holds the tiebreaker over each of Caltech, CMS and Redlands; if La Verne were to win its final two games and Whittier lost its next two, the Leopards would claim the #2 seed by virtue of the next tiebreaker, which is record against highest common opponent (La Verne defeated Chapman on Jan. 11), regardless of any three- or four-team tie scenarios. Caltech can only finish as high as third in the conference at this point.
Caltech can earn the #3 seed with:
W vs. Chapman, W at Pomona-Pitzer
CMS W and L, La Verne W and L, Redlands W and L
Caltech can earn the #4 seed with:
W vs. Chapman, W at Pomona-Pitzer
Redlands W and W
CMS W and W
AND La Verne W and L
La Verne W and W
AND CMS W and L or L and L
W vs. Chapman, L at Pomona-Pitzer or L vs. Chapman, W at Pomona-Pitzer
only one of CMS, La Verne, Redlands W and W
AND the other two L and L
W vs. Chapman, L at Pomona-Pitzer
La Verne and Redlands W and L
AND CMS L and L
AND Occidental W and W
See below for more detailed descriptions of every scenario:
If Caltech wins both remaining games…
…and CMS, La Verne and Redlands split their remaining games, the Beavers will earn the #3 seed outright.
…and Redlands wins both games, the Beavers will be the #4 seed by virtue of the teams' records vs. the highest common opponent, which would be determined by the winner between CMS and La Verne. The Beavers and Bulldogs will both have been 1-1 against La Verne, but Redlands also went 1-1 against CMS while Caltech was 0-2, thus elevating Redlands to the #3 seed.
…and CMS wins both games, the Beavers will be the #4 seed by virtue of their 0-2 head-to-head record against the Stags.
…and La Verne wins both games, the Beavers would be the #4 seed by virtue of the teams' records vs. the highest common opponent, with La Verne having beaten Chapman on Jan. 11.
…and both CMS and La Verne win both games, the Beavers would not qualify for the tournament by virtue of the three teams' head-to-head records against each other, with CMS 3-1 and La Verne 2-2 to the Beavers' 1-3.
If Catech splits its remaining two games…
…and only one of CMS, La Verne or Redlands wins both games while the others two lose both, the Beavers will earn the #4 seed outright.
…and two or more of CMS, La Verne and Redlands split their remaining games, the Beavers would not qualify for the tournament by virtue of multiple tiebreaker scenarios…
…unless La Verne and Redlands split their remaining games while CMS loses both, in which case the Beavers would earn the #4 seed by virtue of the following: with all three teams 2-2 against each other head-to-head, La Verne would earn the #3 seed due to either its win over Chapman (if Caltech's loss is also to Chapman) or over Whittier (if Caltech defeats Chapman). With only Caltech and Redlands remaining in the tie, the Beavers would earn the #4 seed thanks either to a win over Chapman, or, if Caltech loses to Chapman but Occidental wins both remaining games, the Beavers' 2-0 record vs. Oxy would trump Redlands' 1-1 mark; however, if Cal Lutheran were to win out rather than Oxy, CMS would be the next-highest competitor and Caltech would not qualify because of Redlands' 1-1 mark vs. Caltech's 0-2 record vs. the Stags.
…and each of CMS, La Verne and Redlands split their remaining games, the Beavers would not qualify for the tournament.
…and both CMS and La Verne win both their remaining games, the Beavers would not qualify for the tournament outright.
If Caltech loses both remaining games…
…the Beavers would not qualify regardless of other results.
Head Coach Dr. Oliver Eslinger and the Beavers host Chapman on Saturday, Feb. 20 at 5 p.m. on Senior Night.